Sunday , July 22 2018

Exit polls predict BJP win in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa; loss in Punjab

Prime Minister Narendra Modi

New Delhi: After the incredible exercise of month-long for Assembly polls across 5 states, the exit polls prediction on Thursday threw up mixed outcomes. While VMR, MRC, Axis and Today’s Chanakya predicted a BJP surge in the high-stake in Uttar Pradesh elections, exit polls conducted by Lokniti and C-Voter specified a hung Assembly, forecasting that the BJP and SP-Congress alliance will be neck to neck in the race.

All exit polls were, though, unanimous in predicting a complete retreat of BSP supremo Mayawati in Uttar Pradesh and the SAD-BJP combine in Punjab. With the spectre of a hung Assembly looming large, SP chief and Uttar Pradesh chief minister Akhilesh Yadav took the major step in proposing an alliance with his party’s arch rival, BSP supreme Ms Mayawati. In an interview to BBC Hindi radio, SP Chief Mr Akhilesh Yadav stated that if the SP-Congress alliance fell short of a majority, they would not mind “joining hands with Mayawati’s BSP in an attempt to keep BJP out of the state”, and because “nobody wants Presidents’ rule in the state.” He, however, was hopeful of SP-Congress getting a majority on their own.

exit polls

The BSP chief has not yet reacted to SP’s proposals.  The exit polls also threw up contradictory predictions for Punjab, Goa, Manipur and Uttarakhand. While the BJP camp began chest thumping following the predictions by exit polls, the Congress implemented a policy of wait and watch.

Modi mania to continue: Polls

If the majority of the exit polls are to be assumed, the Modi mania continues to sweep Uttar Pradesh. Of the 403 Assembly seats in UP, India Today-Axis toed 251 to 279 seats to the BJP, 88-112 to SP-Congress and 28-42 seats to BSP. Today’s Chanakya projected a similar line and predicted 285 seats to BJP, 88 to SP-Congress and 27 to BSP. Times Now-VMR toed 190-210 seats for the BJP, 156-169 for SP-Congress and 60-72 for BSP. NewsX-MRC specified 185 seats for BJP, 120 for SP-Congress and 90 for BSP. The magic figure to form the government in UP is 202. As for India Today-Axis, the BJP is forming the government in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur.

Expecting a hung assembly in Uttar Pradesh, ABP-Lokniti anticipated 164-176 for BJP, 156-169 for SP-Congress, 60-72 for BSP. India TV C-Voter gave 155-167 seats to BJP, 135 to 147 for SP-Congress and 81 to 93 for BSP.

As for Punjab, with 117 Assembly seats, India Today-Axis toed a Congress victory with 62-71 seats. It projected 42-51 for AAP and 4-7 for SAD-BJP. Today’s Chanakya expected a tie between Congress and AAP by projecting 54 seats for both the parties. In the same way News X-MRC predicted a tie between Congress and AAP by indicating that they’ll get 55 seats each. India TV C-Voter put its money on AAP by giving the party 59-67 seats, while projecting 41-49 seats for the Congress.

A majority of the exit polls projected a BJP government in Uttarakhand. Of the 71 Assembly seats in Uttarakhand, India Today-Axis expected a BJP sweep with 46-53 seats, giving 12-21 seats to the Congress.  Guessing on similar lines, Today’s Chanakya gave the BJP 53 seats and the Congress 15. ABP Lokniti projected 34-42 seats for BJP and 23-29 seats for Congress. India TV C-Voter expected a tie by predicting 29-35 seats for both Congress and BJP.

In Goa, with 40 Assembly seats, pollsters expected BJP’s return to power. Of the 60 Assembly seats in Manipur, the India Today-Axis predicted Congress getting between and BJP managing 16-22 seats.

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